Construction industry productivity faces ‘paralysis’ as Middle East conflict drives uncertainty

Construction industry productivity risks becoming stuck in a ‘paralysis’ over economic uncertainty and geopolitical instability, according to new research by Pick Everard

Mitigating the impact of inflation and supply chain disruptions requires proactive planning to address risks such as cracked construction pipelines and reduced demand.

The warning follows its recent survey, which found 70% of respondents working in construction fear prices and capacity will be severely affected as a result of oil restrictions within the next six months.

Middle East conflict has a direct impact on construction industry productivity

Inflation has now reached 3.3%, largely due to higher fuel prices stemming from the war in the Middle East. This has intensified pressure on an industry already grabbling from fragile confidence and ongoing project delays.

Gavin Mason, Operations Director at Pick Everard, said that sitting tight is not an option and urged construction companies to adopt a proactive risk-management approach.

“It’s not a lack of intent that is the issue now,” he said, “but a ‘watch and wait’ mentality that is threatening growth.

“The problem is that the shockwaves from the Iran war are likely to be felt by construction for some time – regardless of how peace talks play out. In these volatile times, we need to collaborate and foster agility through strategies like advanced procurement and data sharing.”

Concerns are growing over costs and viability

In the latest market intelligence from Pick Everard, 45% of respondents described the mood of the construction industry as concerned or very pessimistic.

Survey participants, comprising clients, contractors, developers and consultants, cited costs and viability as among the biggest challenges they face, while nearly 70% of respondents fear that a further squeeze on prices and capacity is imminent.

The research, carried out last month, showed more than half of those surveyed believe the war in the Middle East had affected immediate delivery plans. Only 17% thought inflation had a minor or no impact on construction projects.

De-risking construction programmes to enhance productivity

The report states: “The past six years have seen three consecutive periods of major supply chain disruption – the triple shock of COVID, the conflict in Ukraine and now the Gulf. This is starting to feel like the new normal, and the effects are felt throughout the economy long after the events have stopped.

“As advisers, we need to approach buildings in a way that helps clients de-risk construction programmes by prioritising locally sourced materials and specifying less energy-intensive products that are less vulnerable to major price fluctuation. This isn’t just about meeting a sustainability target now; it’s about project viability.

“Our clients are continuously seeking to make schemes solvent and are already struggling with the previous impacts on cost driven through crises, planning and statutory compliance. It will be more important than ever to tap into strategic design and project advice to make sure projects become deliverable.”

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Construction industry productivity faces ‘paralysis’ as Middle East conflict drives uncertainty
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